USA Presidential Election 2024

[Josiah]

It's still VERY early and LOTS can (and probably will) change but here are my early predictions:

Democrats:

Its' only happened once in all US history, in 1854 the Democrats did not nominate Franklin Pierce (arguably the worse president in history) for a second term. I think history is about to repeat itself, this time with Biden. Partly because his ratings are terrible and partly because Democrats think he can't beat anyone - not even Trump.

There will be several uber-liberal/communist/socialists running to replace him (maybe even including our friend Bernie), but they will split that vote and will seem too crazy for the Democrats in middle and southern America. One man will stand out.

I think Gavin Newsom will prevail as the nominee. We in the People's Republic of California have lived with him for 6 years now and have come to know him well. He has all the radical liberal credentials of even the most crazy Democrat - and unlike them, a record of actually DOING it (walking the walk, not just talking the talk). BUT he has one huge advantage over that crowd: He's likable. Very likable. Even charming. And he has this amazing ability to SOUND pragmatic, to SEEM unpolitical. Why, he comes off as downright nice. And some ladies think he's good looking. In debates, he stays calm and polite and SOUNDS very thoughtful and above the fray. Compared to the likes of those who will also run, he will SEEM very different, a breath of fresh air. Some liberal states will go for some angry, wild-eyed, female Democrat... but I think middle and southern American (and California) will put Newsom on top. And the Press will LOVE him, calling him the one to unify America and put an end to the divide of our country (In CA, the press has made him a saint).

As of this date, I predict the candidate will be Newsom.

Republicans:

This is a lot harder! No one is really running (full out, anyway) because Trump is the focus. The Democrats and their mouthpiece, the Press, has done their best to keep the focus on Trump (I honestly don't know why! This just FEEDS Trump and his supporters and keeps him in the picture). Will he run again? I say... yes. I don't think his ego and anger will permit otherwise. Will anyone have the guts to run against him for the nomination? My guess..... no, although I think DeSantis is likely to run IF Trump decides not to but I doubt Trump's ego will allow that.

Now, I'd LOVE Tim Scott to run... and get nominated, but I doubt it. I'd be happy if Pence would run, but I don't think he will. Right now, no one seems willing to go head-to-head with Trump.

As of this date, I predict the candidate will be Trump.


Don't be shocked if a third party candidate arises.... perhaps permanently splitting the Republican party (and insuring a Newsom win).


SOOOOO....

Trump vs. Newsom. It would be the third time in my life I've not voted the top of the ticket.




.

 

[Castle Church]

If Trump runs no Republican will want to challenge him to any great degree, at least any Republican with a chance of actually winning. DeSantis would be great, although if I am honest I really would loath to see him leave my state as Governor. I almost prefer to have him here keeping Florida safe than away and roll the dice on who may replace him.

I don't think Newsom will really work on a national stage. California has too much baggage that the rest of the country is aware of, it stymies the Democrats in the middle and there is always a perpetual feud between East Coast and West Coast liberals. I don't think that the Democratic party will fail to nominate him, I believe he will step down after his term. Harris is a mess and has been essentially absent for the last couple of months, no way she gets the nod. In all honesty I think that they are going to give Hillary another run at it.

 

[Albion]

Normally, we'd say that it's too early to identify the likely nominee, but the campaigns have been starting earlier and earlier and the presidential primary elections as well, so very soon after this November's elections, we'll see who's making his or her move.

The Democrats have almost no "bench," so even a newcomer who gets elected governor or senator somewhere this November could be in the running. I seriously doubt that any of the people who ran in the primaries in previous years and didn't get the Democratic Party nomination have a chance in 2024, so that's one thing that Newsom does have going for him ('a new face' everywhere except for California).

 

[Lees]

My prediction of the election of 2024 is that democrats will win.

Why? Because they have showed they will go to the most extreme measures to keep Trump and conservatives out of the presidency.

Democrats will win because they will do every underhanded and illegal thing they can to swing the votes.

Democrats hate Trump and conservatives so bad they will stop at nothing to determine the outcome of the election in their favor.

If Trump were to run for president, it would not surpise me if they had him killed. That is how much hate they have displayed against him and conservatives.

In other words, democrats are not going to turn loose of the power they now have. No matter what. And they have their storm troopers with all the legal authority in the world to make sure of it...the FBI.

We are nothing but a third world country that can't trust the vote. What a joke we have become.

Lees

 

[tango]

I fear you might be right about Newsom but the way the Demokratik Party is going lately I'd say he's the wrong gender and the wrong color to get anywhere. And of course he's cisgender, which is problematic and unless I missed something he's also heterosexual, which could also be problematic.

If only there were a qualified black transgender lesbian out there who could stand, she'd be a shoo-in for the nomination.