New AI system can 'predict human behavior in any situation' with unprecedented degree of accuracy

Lucian

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Centaur is an AI model of human cognition that was trained on a curated dataset called Psych-101, which included data from 60,000 people who made more than 10 million individual choices over 160 psychology experiments, according to the paper. The researchers say it might be the world's largest human behavior dataset.


"Essentially, we show the model a full transcript of a psychological experiment from a participant — everything they were told, have seen and have done," study lead author Marcel Binz, a research scientist at the Helmholtz Institute for Human-Centered AI in Germany, told Live Science in an email.

The team then let the model predict what experiment participants chose in specific contexts. If the model predicted a choice that a person didn't make in real life, the researchers would fine-tune the model by correcting its choice. They repeated this process over and over, until Centaur was regularly making correct predictions.

Their next goal is to use Centaur as a proxy for the human brain to determine whether certain patterns they see in the program's data processing correlate with specific decisions. This information could help answer questions about how people process information and how decision-making differs between those with and without mental health conditions, for example, according to the statement.

"Right now, we essentially have a big black box model that predicts human behavior really well," Binz told Live Science. Thanks to Centaur, the researchers can now predict how humans will act, but don't yet have insight into how they arrive at a given decision.

Currently, one big unknown is whether Centaur just predicts human thought or whether it reproduces the underlying cognitive processes, Lake explained. "Is it modeling human mental processes, or just mimicking the outcomes?"

So much for having free will! There's overwhelming evidence that we're just machines that act according to biological and experiential factors outside of our control. Just as I've suspected. :oops:
 

Frankj

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So much for having free will! There's overwhelming evidence that we're just machines that act according to biological and experiential factors outside of our control. Just as I've suspected. :oops:
People have been debating the idea of free will in our lives, whether we are simply observers of our lives or the directors of them, since ancient Greece without arriving at any way to either prove or disprove it definitively.

One thing I'm pretty sure of though, Centaur has no free will and must do only that which it is scripted to do and nothing else.
 

Edward429451

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So much for having free will! There's overwhelming evidence that we're just machines that act according to biological and experiential factors outside of our control. Just as I've suspected. :oops:

So if I ordered up a Prostitute to come to my house for service, I'm not responsible for that before God? I didn't do that, I don't have free will?

That's absurd. You prove that you have free will 100 times a day. You run your life and make your own decisions.
 

Lucian

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That's absurd. You prove that you have free will 100 times a day. You run your life and make your own decisions.
The decisions we make are influenced by our desires, and we cannot choose our desires. We may be able to do what we want, to some extent, but we cannot choose what we want. The fact that you obey God stems from your beliefs in the Christian doctrine and from your desire to be saved. Neither of those things were conscious decisions. They were involuntary processes that simply occurred outside of your control.
 

Edward429451

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The decisions we make are influenced by our desires, and we cannot choose our desires. We may be able to do what we want, to some extent, but we cannot choose what we want. The fact that you obey God stems from your beliefs in the Christian doctrine and from your desire to be saved. Neither of those things were conscious decisions. They were involuntary processes that simply occurred outside of your control.

So...basically, your not even alive? If you don't believe in God or want to follow Him, then God must have put the desire in your heart to talk crap about Him that isn't true.

You seem to be full of untruths.
 

Lucian

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So...basically, your not even alive? If you don't believe in God or want to follow Him, then God must have put the desire in your heart to talk crap about Him that isn't true.

You seem to be full of untruths.
Do the following cognitive experiment: force yourself to desire something that you don't desire. Not to do something that you don't desire. Not to tell yourself that you desire something that you don't desire. Almost everyone can do that. But try to actually desire something that you simply don't desire. It could be anything. If you can achieve that, let me know.
 

Edward429451

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Do the following cognitive experiment: force yourself to desire something that you don't desire. Not to do something that you don't desire. Not to tell yourself that you desire something that you don't desire. Almost everyone can do that. But try to actually desire something that you simply don't desire. It could be anything. If you can achieve that, let me know.

I have no desire to do an experiment like that. Lol.
 

Lucian

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I have no desire to do an experiment like that. Lol.
Then stop claiming that you have free will or risk being laughed at for being irrational.
 

Edward429451

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Then stop claiming that you have free will or risk being laughed at for being irrational.

I don't care if you laugh at me. Who are you? Lol. You want to say that I don't have free will because I wont do what you say?

That's a Good One!
 

Nic

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So much for having free will! There's overwhelming evidence that we're just machines that act according to biological and experiential factors outside of our control. Just as I've suspected. :oops:
Predicting behavior is a skill set in my view. Having knowledge of anatomy is another. Yet, conscientious is more than our anatomy. Food for thought.
 

jswauto

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A great tool for the New World Order. It's programmed with all the anti-Christian Marxist values. that they cherish!

$10M says when you unveil their real intent, it's all evil!
 

Frankj

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If this was actually possible, if it truly worked, someone could really clean up in Las Vegas with it.

Gambling is, after all, based on predicting human behavior to the largest extent and if it is predictable there is no random chance involved.
 

jswauto

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If this was actually possible, if it truly worked, someone could really clean up in Las Vegas with it.

Gambling is, after all, based on predicting human behavior to the largest extent and if it is predictable there is no random chance involved.
What is your first bet?
 
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