Lanman87
Well-known member
- Joined
- Dec 30, 2020
- Messages
- 729
- Age
- 55
- Location
- Bible Belt
- Gender
- Male
- Religious Affiliation
- Non-Denominational
- Marital Status
- Married
- Acceptance of the Trinity & Nicene Creed
- Yes
According to Real Clear Politics polling average on 10/1/2024 Harris has a 2.0 lead in the polling average, which is well within the margin of error for pretty much every poll. For context, on Oct 1st 2016 Hillary Clinton had a 2.7 lead in the polling average.
More importantly, Trump is slightly ahead, but within the margin of error in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. Trump is behind, but within the margin of error in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada.
Of course, Trump (or any Republican) has to get 2% more votes or else mail in ballot harvesting will give Harris the win. If the vote is actually within 1% then the Democrats will be able to print out enough "mail in ballots" to make up the difference.
If someone said I had to bet $100 today on who will win the election I would put the money on Trump.
More importantly, Trump is slightly ahead, but within the margin of error in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. Trump is behind, but within the margin of error in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada.
Of course, Trump (or any Republican) has to get 2% more votes or else mail in ballot harvesting will give Harris the win. If the vote is actually within 1% then the Democrats will be able to print out enough "mail in ballots" to make up the difference.
If someone said I had to bet $100 today on who will win the election I would put the money on Trump.