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    Politics - Thread: 2020: Polls Already Busy!

    1. #1
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      2020: Polls Already Busy!

      Yup.... we're a long way from November, 2020 but the campaign is clearly underway!

      The Dems are lining up in BIG numbers; looks like a very crowded field!!!

      No Republican challenge to Trump has materialized, much to the surprise of some. And time is pressing.


      In the polls....

      Looking at polls from 2019, Trump vs. some "Mystery Democrat" has that unnamed Democrat winning hands down, by a margin of 10 or so in various polls. BUT when it gets down to some NAMED Democrat, that margin narrows.


      Trump vs. Biden
      Emerson puts it as 45 Trump, 55 Biden. Change has it at 45/52. He scores best against Trump.
      Trump vs. Warren Emerson puts it at 47 Trump, 53 Warren. Change has it at 46/47
      Trump vs. Sanders Emerson 49 Trump, 51 Sanders, change 46/48 (both within the margin of error)
      Trump vs. Harris Emerson 49/51, Change 48/46 (both within the margin of error).




      .
      We are justified by works - just not our own.

    2. #2
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      Are those the same polls that predicted Hillary for the win?
      "Christianity does not require more work but more trust." Pr. Jonathan Fisk
      "Bearing fruit does not make you a branch. A branch is a branch because it grows from the vine." Pr. Jonathan Fisk
      "A Christian's life is not defined by what the Christian does. It is defined by Christ and what He has done for us." Pr. Rolf David Preus

    3. #3
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      Quote Originally Posted by Josiah View Post
      Yup.... we're a long way from November, 2020 but the campaign is clearly underway!

      The Dems are lining up in BIG numbers; looks like a very crowded field!!!

      No Republican challenge to Trump has materialized, much to the surprise of some. And time is pressing.


      In the polls....

      Looking at polls from 2019, Trump vs. some "Mystery Democrat" has that unnamed Democrat winning hands down, by a margin of 10 or so in various polls. BUT when it gets down to some NAMED Democrat, that margin narrows.


      Trump vs. Biden
      Emerson puts it as 45 Trump, 55 Biden. Change has it at 45/52. He scores best against Trump.
      Trump vs. Warren Emerson puts it at 47 Trump, 53 Warren. Change has it at 46/47
      Trump vs. Sanders Emerson 49 Trump, 51 Sanders, change 46/48 (both within the margin of error)
      Trump vs. Harris Emerson 49/51, Change 48/46 (both within the margin of error).




      .
      If the left nominates a Socialist, the swing vote will turn toward the known incumbent. Socialism is not a centrist position and no matter how bad President Trump is perceived, he won't be perceived as worse than a Socialist.

    4. #4
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      AT THIS TIME, it seems the one Democrat who actually could challenge Trump is Biden. But he is SO old and "old school" that I find it unlikely he will get anywhere... even if he chooses to run (which I suspect he will)...

      SHOCK of SHOCKS, at THIS point (admittedly, so early as to be mostly irrelevant), it seems Trump has a pretty easy run at re-election. Which is probably why no Republican opposition has materialized. But LOTS of things could happen yet.

      I agree: What Trump must be hoping for is some RADICAL like Elizabeth Warren or Pamela Harris will get the nod (which I find likely) and be easily defeated. I'm not sure that makes me happy but that's how it seems NOW.
      We are justified by works - just not our own.

    5. #5
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      Biden is a child predator, I hope he does run his campaign so he could be exposed to for what he really is.

    6. #6
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      Barring any competition for Trump from the Republican side, that is

    7. #7
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      polls at this point are largely irrelevant since it is so long before the election.

    8. #8
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      Quote Originally Posted by Josiah View Post
      Yup.... we're a long way from November, 2020 but the campaign is clearly underway!

      The Dems are lining up in BIG numbers; looks like a very crowded field!!!

      No Republican challenge to Trump has materialized, much to the surprise of some. And time is pressing.


      In the polls....

      Looking at polls from 2019, Trump vs. some "Mystery Democrat" has that unnamed Democrat winning hands down, by a margin of 10 or so in various polls. BUT when it gets down to some NAMED Democrat, that margin narrows.


      Trump vs. Biden
      Emerson puts it as 45 Trump, 55 Biden. Change has it at 45/52. He scores best against Trump.
      Trump vs. Warren Emerson puts it at 47 Trump, 53 Warren. Change has it at 46/47
      Trump vs. Sanders Emerson 49 Trump, 51 Sanders, change 46/48 (both within the margin of error)
      Trump vs. Harris Emerson 49/51, Change 48/46 (both within the margin of error).




      .
      I wouldn't vote for any of them.
      If you want to rile people up then go to a Christian site and give God ALL the glory for your salvation.

    9. #9
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      The polls change all the time and I will see come Nov 2020
      Isaiah 40:31

    10. #10
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      Quote Originally Posted by jsimms435 View Post
      polls at this point are largely irrelevant since it is so long before the election.
      Given their track record I wonder if they will ever be relevant again. I remember when the discussion wasn't whether Trump or Clinton would win but whether Clinton would win by a big margin or a huge margin.
      "Do what thou will shall be the whole of the law" - Aleister Crowley

      "If you love me, obey my commandments" - Jesus Christ

      The Bible comes as a complete package. If we want to pluck verses out of context so make them mean what we want them to mean, if we want to ignore the passages that are inconvenient to our outlook, we should be intellectually honest enough to throw our Bibles in the trash and admit we are following Crowley and not Christ.

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